Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham Under-21s win with a probability of 46.49%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.69%) and 3-2 (5.37%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 6-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham Under-21s would win this match.