Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland Under-21s win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 38.59% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-3 (5.17%) and 1-3 (5.03%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sunderland Under-21s in this match.