Romania national football team
Nations League | League C
Nov 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Arena Nationala
Cyprus national football team

Romania
4 - 1
Cyprus

Birligea (2'), Marin (42', 80'), Coman (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Pittas (52')
Karo (16'), Antoniou (52'), Laifis (74')
Laifis (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Romania and Cyprus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Lithuania 1-2 Romania
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Cyprus 2-1 Lithuania
Friday, November 15 at 5pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 64.42%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 15.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Cyprus win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.

Result
RomaniaDrawCyprus
64.42% (1.194 1.19)20.13% (-0.487 -0.49)15.45% (-0.708 -0.71)
Both teams to score 52.1% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.28% (0.809 0.81)42.72% (-0.809 -0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.88% (0.799 0.8)65.12% (-0.8 -0.8)
Romania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.46% (0.59100000000001 0.59)12.54% (-0.591 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.43% (1.215 1.22)38.56% (-1.216 -1.22)
Cyprus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.57% (-0.424 -0.42)40.43% (0.423 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.95% (-0.385 -0.39)77.04% (0.384 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Romania 64.41%
    Cyprus 15.45%
    Draw 20.13%
RomaniaDrawCyprus
2-0 @ 10.92% (0.1 0.1)
1-0 @ 10.52% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.57% (0.237 0.24)
3-1 @ 6.85% (0.137 0.14)
4-0 @ 3.93% (0.208 0.21)
4-1 @ 3.56% (0.149 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.027 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.63% (0.12 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.049 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.48% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 64.41%
1-1 @ 9.53% (-0.239 -0.24)
0-0 @ 5.07% (-0.184 -0.18)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.13%
0-1 @ 4.59% (-0.222 -0.22)
1-2 @ 4.32% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-2 @ 2.08% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.035 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.3% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 15.45%

How you voted: Romania vs Cyprus

Romania
89.8%
Draw
5.9%
Cyprus
4.2%
118
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2024 7.45pm
League C
Cyprus
0-3
Romania

Kousoulos (11'), Laifis (24'), Kastanos (31'), Avgousti (52'), Soteriou (63')
Man (16'), Marin (25' pen.), Dragusin (36')
Bancu (41'), Man (45+6')