Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 37.59% ( | 26.8% ( | 35.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.53% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.41% ( | 53.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.91% ( | 75.09% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.37% ( | 27.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.84% ( | 63.16% ( |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.19% ( | 28.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.34% ( | 64.65% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.23% ( 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 2-0 @ 6.58% ( 3-1 @ 3.52% ( 3-0 @ 2.82% ( 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 4-0 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.01% Total : 37.58% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0-0 @ 7.96% ( 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 3-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 9.9% ( 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0-2 @ 6.16% ( 1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0-3 @ 2.56% ( 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 1-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 35.61% |