Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 53.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Tamworth had a probability of 22.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Tamworth win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Tamworth |
| 53.94% ( | 23.55% ( | 22.51% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.58% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.97% ( | 47.02% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.73% ( | 69.27% ( |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.65% ( | 17.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.26% ( | 47.73% ( |
| Tamworth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.83% ( | 35.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.07% ( | 71.92% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Tamworth |
| 1-0 @ 10.68% ( 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 2-0 @ 9.36% ( 3-1 @ 5.71% ( 3-0 @ 5.47% ( 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 4-0 @ 2.39% ( 4-2 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 3.75% Total : 53.93% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 3-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.54% | 0-1 @ 6.38% ( 1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0-2 @ 3.33% ( 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0-3 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2% Total : 22.51% |