MX23RW : Thursday, May 2 06:58:02| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Mansfield Town
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Salford City
Stockport County
Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Newport County

Wrexham
2 - 0
Newport

Jones (64'), Lee (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Wildig (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Colchester
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Wrexham 3-1 Newport County

The Wrexham style often leaves them vulnerable at the back, but there is so much depth in the attack that we believe they will once again find a way to counteract that flaw against Newport. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 57.96%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 21.4% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.94%) and 1-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawNewport County
57.96% (-0.253 -0.25) 20.63% (0.108 0.11) 21.4% (0.143 0.14)
Both teams to score 62.12% (-0.178 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.96% (-0.33 -0.33)35.04% (0.328 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.97% (-0.369 -0.37)57.03% (0.365 0.37)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.02% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)11.98% (0.172 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.61% (-0.37 -0.37)37.39% (0.367 0.37)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.57% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)29.43% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.58% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)65.42% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 57.96%
    Newport County 21.4%
    Draw 20.63%
WrexhamDrawNewport County
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.94% (0.024 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.48% (0.073 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.87% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.61% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.2% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.64% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.98% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.23% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.55% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.26% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-2 @ 0.95% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-3 @ 0.91% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 57.96%
1-1 @ 9.15% (0.074 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 3.52% (0.058 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.71% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 20.63%
1-2 @ 5.6% (0.036 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.31% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.64% (0.035 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.28% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 21.4%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Newport

Wrexham
84.2%
Draw
0.0%
Newport County
15.8%
19
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2018 7.45pm
Second Round Replays
Newport
4-0
Wrexham
Amond (49'), Matt (59'), Carrington (65' og.), Butler (90')
Butler (16'), Pipe (56')

Pearson (16'), Lainton (16'), Fondop-Talom (81')
Young (12')
Dec 1, 2018 8pm
Second Round
Wrexham
0-0
Newport
Walker (65')
Sheehan (39'), O'Brien (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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