Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34

May 19, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)

Toulouse
0 - 3
Brest

Mawissa (53')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Camara (48'), Amavi (54'), Lala (90')
Pereira Lage (79'), Amavi (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions

Last Game: PSG 1-3 Toulouse
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brest

All competitions

Last Game: Brest 1-1 Reims
Friday, May 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brest have been involved in some wildly entertaining games of late away from home, and given that they still have something to play for, we expect to see them push the intensity and find a way to overcome a Toulouse side that have improved a lot in front of goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Brest had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Brest
39.02% ( 0.76)	25.87% ( 0.18)	35.11% ( -0.94)

Both teams to score 54.56% (

-0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.3% (

-0.89)

49.7% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.29% (

-0.8)

71.71% (

0.8)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.98% (

-0)

25.02% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.31% (

-0)

59.68% (

-0.01)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.77% (

-0.97)

27.23% (

0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.34% (

-1.28)

62.65% (

1.28)

Score Analysis

Toulouse 39.02%

Brest 35.11%

Draw 25.86%

Toulouse	Draw	Brest
1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.62% Total : 39.02%	1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.86%	0-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.01% Total : 35.11%