MX23RW : Monday, May 6 23:43:10| >> :60:61:61:
Palmeiras
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 30, 2023 at 1am UK
Allianz Parque

Palmeiras
4 - 0
Bolivar

Rony (24'), Artur (34', 85'), Piquerez (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Villamil (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between Palmeiras and Bolivar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolivar 2-0 Cerro Porteno
Wednesday, June 7 at 3am in Copa Libertadores

We said: Palmeiras 2-2 Bolivar

Palmeiras looked an unstoppable force on home soil until they suffered defeat to Botafogo last weekend, and returning to winning ways is not a given for the Alviverde considering that they have already lost to Bolivar this season. Indeed, the visitors head to Brazil in buoyant mood needing just a draw to claim top spot in Group C and we believe that the Bolivian side will pick up the point they need in an entertaining contest at Allianz Parque. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 77.46%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Bolivar had a probability of 8.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.35%), while for a Bolivar win it was 1-2 (2.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawBolivar
77.46% (0.527 0.53) 13.84% (-0.214 -0.21) 8.7% (-0.306 -0.31)
Both teams to score 52.97% (-0.549 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.51% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)30.49% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.22% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)51.78% (-0.002999999999993 -0)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.63% (0.104 0.1)6.37% (-0.097 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.1% (0.274 0.27)23.9% (-0.268 -0.27)
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.57% (-0.646 -0.65)43.43% (0.653 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.35% (-0.546 -0.55)79.65% (0.551 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 77.46%
    Bolivar 8.7%
    Draw 13.84%
PalmeirasDrawBolivar
2-0 @ 10.48% (0.11 0.11)
3-0 @ 9.63% (0.158 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 8.03% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.62% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
4-0 @ 6.63% (0.145 0.15)
4-1 @ 5.53% (0.023 0.02)
5-0 @ 3.65% (0.1 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-1 @ 3.05% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.31% (-0.032 -0.03)
6-0 @ 1.68% (0.055 0.05)
6-1 @ 1.4% (0.021 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.27% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 77.46%
1-1 @ 6.35% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.65% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-0 @ 2.77%
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 13.84%
1-2 @ 2.65% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-1 @ 2.31% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-2 @ 0.96% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 8.7%

How you voted: Palmeiras vs Bolivar

Palmeiras
66.7%
Draw
13.3%
Bolivar
20.0%
15
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2023 1.30am
Group Stage
Bolivar
3-1
Palmeiras
Hervias (20'), Bejarano (45+1'), Uzeda (89')
Sep 30, 2020 11.15pm
Group Stage
Palmeiras
5-0
Bolivar
Willian (3'), Wesley (47'), Vina (59'), Veiga (61'), Rony (64')
Gomez (29')

Carlos Fernandez Toro (58')
Sep 17, 2020 1.30am
Group Stage
Bolivar
1-2
Palmeiras
Riquelme (67')
Willian (34' pen.), Menino (60')
Rafael (36'), Menino (44'), Henrique (72'), D (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!