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Championship header 2

League One
Northampton Town
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 at 2pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Exeter City

Northampton
1 - 2
Exeter

Guthrie (73')
Guthrie (45')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Harris (20'), Aimson (83')
Woods (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-0 Northampton
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Port Vale 2-4 Exeter
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 1-2 Exeter City

 Northampton Town will be keen to bounce back from last week's disappointment and maintain a lead over Saturday's visitors, but they meet an Exeter City side with momentum firmly behind them on their climb towards the top half, and we back the Grecians to continue their fine run with another three-point haul at Sixfields. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Exeter City in this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawExeter City
38.73% (0.061999999999998 0.06) 25.62% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 35.65% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 55.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)48.55% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.32% (0.0040000000000013 0)70.68% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.34% (0.035999999999987 0.04)24.66% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.82% (0.048000000000002 0.05)59.18% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.63% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)26.37% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.48% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)61.52% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 38.73%
    Exeter City 35.65%
    Draw 25.62%
Northampton TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 9.1% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.5% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.37% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.97% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.97% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 38.73%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 6.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.66%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 8.67% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.78% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 35.65%

How you voted: Northampton vs Exeter

Northampton Town
14.3%
Draw
28.6%
Exeter City
57.1%
7
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Exeter
0-2
Northampton

Jules (8')
Hoskins (20'), Brough (90+2')
Brady (9'), Bowie (34'), Brough (41'), Sherring (44'), Odimayo (62'), Monthe (84')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Northampton
1-1
Exeter
Pinnock (29')
Guthrie (87')
Nombe (71')
Dieng (20'), Sparkes (54'), Brown (68'), Collins (88'), Key (90+4')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Exeter
1-2
Northampton
Amond (50')
Key (56'), Caprice (78')
Sowerby (34'), Hoskins (74')
McWilliams (35'), Guthrie (71')
> Preview
Dec 8, 2020 7pm
Second Round
Exeter
1-2
Northampton
Atangana (51')
Rose (22'), Ashley-Seal (82')
Rose (40'), Smith (51'), McWilliams (86'), Horsfall (90+2')
Jun 29, 2020 7.30pm
Exeter
0-4
Northampton
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030
> League One Full Table


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