Australian A-League | Gameweek 29

May 3, 2025 at 10.35am UK

Campbelltown Stadium

Macarthur
1 - 3
Western Sydney

Jakolis (4')
Hollman (49'), Brattan (59'), Uskok (65'), Boli (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kraev (21'), Pantazopoulos (55'), Antonsson (73')
Pantazopoulos (83'), Hammond (90+2')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Western Sydney Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 1-2 Victory
Friday, April 25 at 10.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 0-1 Western Sydney
Saturday, April 26 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.43%) and 2-3 (5.01%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Macarthur	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
35.24% ( 0.81)	20.84% ( -0.01)	43.92% ( -0.8)

Both teams to score 73.54% (

0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.87% (

0.3)

25.13% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.92% (

0.39)

45.08% (

-0.39)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.19% (

0.49)

15.81% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.03% (

0.89)

44.97% (

-0.89)

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.35% (

-0.13)

12.65% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.2% (

-0.28)

38.81% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Macarthur 35.24%

Western Sydney Wanderers 43.92%

Draw 20.84%

Macarthur	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.08) 4-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.79% Total : 35.24%	1-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 2% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.86% Total : 20.84%	1-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 5.43% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 5.01% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 2.81% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 2.59% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.06) 1-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) 2-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.49% Total : 43.92%