Australian A-League | Gameweek 27

Apr 19, 2025 at 10.35am UK

Spotless Stadium

Western Sydney
2 - 2
Melbourne City

Milanovic (9'), Trewin (13' og.)
Cleur (18')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Trewin (36', 86' pen.)
Wong (73'), Milanovic (74'), Talbot (90+2'), Atkinson (90+4')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Western Sydney 2-0 Western Utd
Sunday, April 13 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 3-2 Brisbane Roar
Friday, April 11 at 10.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.55%) and 2-3 (4.81%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Western Sydney Wanderers	Draw	Melbourne City
33.91% ( -0.5)	21.29% ( 0.01)	44.8% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 71.27% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.14% (

-0.22)

27.85% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.43% (

-0.27)

48.56% (

0.28)

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.32% (

-0.34)

17.67% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.7% (

-0.58)

48.3% (

0.58)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.57% (

0.08)

13.43% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.61% (

0.16)

40.39% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Western Sydney Wanderers 33.91%

Melbourne City 44.8%

Draw 21.29%

Western Sydney Wanderers	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.05) 4-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.93% Total : 33.91%	1-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.7% Total : 21.29%	1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 5.55% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 4.81% 0-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 2.79% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.04) 3-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) 2-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.12% Total : 44.8%