Australian A-League
Gameweek
28
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-
Luke Brattan
56'
-
Chris Ikonomidis
68'
-
Ryan Teague
4'
-
Daniel Arzani
15'
-
Kasey Bos
32'
-
Kasey Bos
36'
-
Lachlan Jackson
74'
-
Jack Duncan
90'+5'
Macarthur vs Melbourne Victory - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.33%) and 0-1 (5.12%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Melbourne Victory in this match.
Result
Macarthur
35.01%
▼
(-0.32)
Draw
21.76%
▲
(+0.06)
Melbourne Victory
43.23%
▲
(+0.27)
Both Teams to Score:
69.76%
▼
(-0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5
70.06%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 2.5
29.94%
▲
(+0.37)
Over 3.5
48.88%
▼
(-0.44)
Under 3.5
51.12%
▲
(+0.44)
Over 4.5
29.72%
▼
(-0.40)
Under 4.5
70.28%
▲
(+0.40)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5
81.87%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 0.5
18.13%
▲
(+0.32)
Over 1.5
50.91%
▼
(-0.54)
Under 1.5
49.09%
▲
(+0.54)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5
85.21%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
14.79%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
56.95%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 1.5
43.05%
▲
(+0.10)
Score analysis
Macarthur
35.01%
Draw
21.76%
Melbourne Victory
43.23%
Macarthur
2-1
@
7.47%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.05)
4-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 35.01%
1-0 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.05)
4-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 35.01%
Draw
1-1
@
8.75%
▲
(+0.08)
2-2 @ 7.14% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 21.76%
2-2 @ 7.14% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 21.76%
Melbourne Victory
1-2
@
8.36%
▲
(+0.06)
1-3 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 4.9% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.05)
1-4 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.03)
3-4 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.4%
Total : 43.23%
1-3 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 4.9% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.05)
1-4 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.03)
3-4 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.4%
Total : 43.23%
Adama Traore
62'