Australian A-League Gameweek 28
Apr 26, 2025 8.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
  • Daniel Wilmering 60' yellowcard
  • Aleksandar Susnjar 74' yellowcard
  • Dane Ingham 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oscar Priestman 3'
  • yellowcard Anthony Pantazopoulos 30'
  • goal Zac Sapsford 57'

Newcastle Jets vs Western Sydney Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 20, 2025 6.00am
Sydney FC 3 - 2 Newcastle Jets
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Lachlan Rose

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 19, 2025 10.35am
Western Sydney 2 - 2 Melbourne City
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Nicolas Milanovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6%) and 0-2 (5.13%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.

Result

Newcastle Jets 30.66% (-0.58)
Draw 20.88% (-0.01)
Western Sydney Wanderers 48.46% (+0.59)

Both Teams to Score: 

71.21% (-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5 72.68% (-0.29)
Under 2.5 27.32% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 52.11% (-0.36)
Under 3.5 47.89% (+0.36)
Over 4.5 32.7% (-0.34)
Under 4.5 67.3% (+0.35)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5 81% (-0.44)
Under 0.5 19% (+0.44)
Over 1.5 49.44% (-0.73)
Under 1.5 50.56% (+0.73)

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 87.91% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 12.09% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 62.37% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 37.63% (-0.15)

Score analysis

Newcastle Jets 30.66%
Draw 20.88%
Western Sydney Wanderers 48.46%
Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 6.69% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.91% (-0.08)
1-0 @ 3.81% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.7% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 3.17% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.75% (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 1.54% (-0.06)
4-3 @ 1.14% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 30.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.06% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 7.07% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 2.76% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 2.3% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 20.88%
Western Sydney Wanderers
1-2 @ 8.52% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 6% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 5.13% (+0.12)
2-3 @ 4.98% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.85% (+0.10)
0-3 @ 3.61% (+0.10)
1-4 @ 3.17% (+0.05)
2-4 @ 2.63% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.91% (+0.06)
3-4 @ 1.46% (-0.03)
1-5 @ 1.34% (+0.03)
2-5 @ 1.11% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 48.46%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 4
Nov 8, 2024 8.35am
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Marconi Stadium
  • Nicolas Milanovic 22' goal
  • Nicolas Milanovic 33' goal
  • Brandon Borrello 39' yellowcard
  • Zac Sapsford 55' goal
  • Nicolas Milanovic 75' goal
  • goal Kosta Grozos 67'
  • yellowcard Callum Timmins 83'
Australian A-League Gameweek 16
Feb 11, 2024 6.00am
3
3
HT : 4 2
FT Spotless Stadium
  • Lachlan Brook 28' goal
  • Lachlan Brook 28' goal
  • Lachlan Brook 31' goal
  • Lachlan Brook 31' goal
  • Tate Russell 36' yellowcard
  • Tate Russell 36' yellowcard
  • Tate Russell 48' redcard
  • Tate Russell 48' redcard
  • Gabriel Cleur 76' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Cleur 76' yellowcard
  • Marcelo 90'+2' goal
  • Marcelo 90'+2' goal
  • Jorrit Hendrix 90'+6' redcard
  • Jorrit Hendrix 90'+6' redcard
  • goal Trent Buhagiar 5'
  • goal Trent Buhagiar 5'
  • goal Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 50'
  • goal Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 50'
  • yellowcard Kosta Grozos 56'
  • yellowcard Kosta Grozos 56'
  • yellowcard Nathan Grimaldi 66'
  • yellowcard Nathan Grimaldi 66'
  • goal Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 70'
  • goal Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 70'
Australian A-League Gameweek 3
Nov 5, 2023 4.00am
2
2
HT : 4 0
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
  • Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 18' goal
  • Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 18' goal
  • Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 37' goal
  • Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 37' goal
  • Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 80' yellowcard
  • Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jorrit Hendrix 30'
  • yellowcard Jorrit Hendrix 30'
  • yellowcard Mark Rudan 31'
  • yellowcard Mark Rudan 31'
  • goal Joshua Brillante 61'
  • goal Joshua Brillante 61'
  • goal Marcus Antonsson 81'
  • goal Marcus Antonsson 81'
  • yellowcard Marcelo 86'
  • yellowcard Marcelo 86'
Australian A-League Gameweek 13
Jan 22, 2023 4.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
  • Angus Thurgate 37' goal
  • goal Oliver Bozanic 64'
Australian A-League Gameweek 4
Oct 28, 2022 9.45am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Spotless Stadium
  • Romain Amalfitano 44' goal
  • Brandon Borrello 51' goal
Australian A-League Gameweek 22
Apr 20, 2022 10.05am
3
2
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Steven Ugarkovic 6' goal
  • Jack Rodwell 18' goal
  • Ramy Najjarine 21' goal
  • Tate Russell 45' yellowcard
  • Steven Ugarkovic 47' yellowcard
  • Jack Rodwell 51' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brandon Wilson 11'
  • yellowcard Beka Mikeltadze 35'
  • yellowcard Jason Hoffman 44'
  • goal Jason Hoffman 67'
  • goal Samuel Silvera 75'
  • yellowcard Angus Thurgate 85'