Australian A-League | Gameweek 28

Apr 26, 2025 at 8am UK

McDonald Jones Stadium

Newcastle Jets
0 - 1
Western Sydney

Wilmering (60'), Susnjar (74'), Ingham (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sapsford (57')
Priestman (3'), Pantazopoulos (30')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Western Sydney Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 3-2 Newcastle Jets
Sunday, April 20 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Western Sydney 2-2 Melbourne City
Saturday, April 19 at 10.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6%) and 0-2 (5.13%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Newcastle Jets	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
30.66% ( -0.57)	20.88% ( -0.01)	48.46% ( 0.58)

Both teams to score 71.21% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.68% (

-0.28)

27.32% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.11% (

-0.36)

47.89% (

0.36)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81% (

-0.43)

19% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.44% (

-0.73)

50.56% (

0.73)

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.91% (

0.07)

12.09% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.37% (

0.15)

37.63% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Newcastle Jets 30.66%

Western Sydney Wanderers 48.46%

Draw 20.88%

Newcastle Jets	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.05) 4-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.31% Total : 30.66%	1-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.7% Total : 20.88%	1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 6% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 4.98% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 3.17% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 2.63% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.05) 3-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) 2-5 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 3.76% Total : 48.46%