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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Juan Domingo Peron

Instituto
0 - 1
Velez Sarsfield

FT(HT: 0-1)
Aquino (29')
Gianetti (36')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Instituto and Velez Sarsfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Instituto 0-0 Rosario
Wednesday, October 25 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-1 Banfield
Tuesday, October 24 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 38.08%. A draw had a probability of 32.5% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 29.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.93%) and 2-1 (6.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.14%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
InstitutoDrawVelez Sarsfield
38.08% (-0.157 -0.16) 32.47% (0.172 0.17) 29.44% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 35.53% (-0.368 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
27.57% (-0.421 -0.42)72.42% (0.416 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
11.25% (-0.257 -0.26)88.74% (0.253 0.25)
Instituto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.89% (-0.348 -0.35)37.1% (0.344 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.11% (-0.345 -0.34)73.89% (0.34099999999999 0.34)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.49% (-0.273 -0.27)43.5% (0.268 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.28% (-0.229 -0.23)79.71% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Instituto 38.08%
    Velez Sarsfield 29.44%
    Draw 32.47%
InstitutoDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 16% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 7.93% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.6% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.62% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.18% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 0.91% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 38.08%
0-0 @ 16.14% (0.25 0.25)
1-1 @ 13.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.75% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 32.47%
0-1 @ 13.43% (0.11 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 5.54% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.55% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 29.44%

Head to Head
Apr 12, 2023 1.30am
rhs 2.0
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