Major League Soccer
Oct 8, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Audi Field
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 48.77% . A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 25.41% .
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (9.13%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%) , while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (8.09%) . The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.
Result DC United Draw New York City FC 48.77% ( -0.32) 25.82% ( -0.01) 25.41% ( 0.32)
Both teams to score 49.76% ( 0.32)
46.39% ( 0.27) 53.61% ( -0.27)
24.89% ( 0.23) 75.11% ( -0.23)
78% ( -0.03) 22% ( 0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 44.69% ( -0.04) 55.31% ( 0.04)
63.8% ( 0.43) 36.2% ( -0.43)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 27.01% ( 0.43) 72.98% ( -0.44)
DC United 48.76%
New York City FC 25.41%
Draw 25.82%
DC United Draw New York City FC 1-0 @ 12.05% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.12% Total : 48.76% 1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.82% 0-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.88% Total : 25.41%
How you voted: DC United vs NY City
DC United
Draw
New York City FC
9
rhs 2.0
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