Aris
Greek Superleague | Gameweek 6
May 10, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Stadio Harilaou Kleanthis Vikelidis

Aris
4 - 2
Asteras

Spikic (12'), Monchu (23'), Fernandes Rodrigues de Souza (56', 77')
Brabec (45')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Brabec (72' og.), Okoh (89')
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between Aris Thessaloniki and Asteras Tripolis.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aris Thessaloniki

All competitions
Last Game: OFI Crete 1-1 Aris
Saturday, May 3 at 6pm in Greek Superleague

Asteras Tripolis

All competitions
Last Game: Asteras 1-4 Atromitos
Saturday, May 3 at 6pm in Greek Superleague

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 49.99%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 22.83%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.

Result
Aris ThessalonikiDrawAsteras Tripolis
49.99% (-1.72 -1.72)27.18% (0.266 0.27)22.83% (1.462 1.46)
Both teams to score 43.58% (0.92400000000001 0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.62% (0.33300000000001 0.33)60.38% (-0.326 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.48% (0.252 0.25)80.53% (-0.246 -0.25)
Aris Thessaloniki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.65% (-0.636 -0.64)24.35% (0.643 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.25% (-0.911 -0.91)58.75% (0.917 0.92)
Asteras Tripolis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.61% (1.693 1.69)42.4% (-1.686 -1.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.23% (1.42 1.42)78.78% (-1.413 -1.41)
Score Analysis
    Aris Thessaloniki 49.98%
    Asteras Tripolis 22.83%
    Draw 27.18%
Aris ThessalonikiDrawAsteras Tripolis
1-0 @ 14.58% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-0 @ 10.3% (-0.52 -0.52)
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.85% (-0.344 -0.34)
3-1 @ 4.16% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.044 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.156 -0.16)
4-1 @ 1.47% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 49.98%
1-1 @ 12.51% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 10.32% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 3.79% (0.161 0.16)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 8.86% (0.298 0.3)
1-2 @ 5.37% (0.323 0.32)
0-2 @ 3.8% (0.295 0.3)
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.158 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.13 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.09% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 22.83%

Head to Head
Mar 29, 2025 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Asteras
0-2
Aris

Kaltsas (45+2')
Gonzalez (62')
Brabec (37'), Saverio (58')
Moron (47'), Saverio (74'), Fernandes Rodrigues de Souza (78'), Montoya (89')
Dec 23, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 16
Asteras
2-1
Aris
Yablonski (59'), Macheda (76')
Alho (90+1')
Zamora (30')
Leismann (10'), Monchu (18'), Montoya (52')
Aug 31, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 3
Aris
1-1
Asteras
Moron (63')
Frydek Jr (30'), Zamora (87'), Mantzis (87'), Montoya (90+1')
Regis (81')
Rastavac (31'), Kaltsas (66'), Brabec (87')
Mantzis (90'), (90+3')
Jan 3, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 16
Asteras
3-2
Aris
Miritello (45+2' pen., 50'), Munafo (61')
Miritello (55')
Moron (8' pen.), Suleymanov (14')
Odubajo (90+6'), Moron (90+7'), Brabec (90+9')
Sep 3, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 3
Aris
3-2
Asteras
Zamora (16'), Moron (61'), Leismann (82' pen.)
Cuesta (90+4')
Bartolo (28'), Mantzis (85')
Castano (45+6'), Papadopoulos (80'), Kaltsas (82')