Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 46.01%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for OFI Crete had a probability of 26.48%.
The most likely scoreline for an Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a OFI Crete win it was 0-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Asteras Tripolis would win this match.