Greek Superleague | Gameweek 1
Mar 29, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis
Aris

Asteras
0 - 2
Aris


Kaltsas (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Brabec (37'), Saverio (58')
Moron (47'), Saverio (74'), Fernandes Rodrigues de Souza (78'), Montoya (89')
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between Asteras Tripolis and Aris Thessaloniki.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Asteras 1-2 Panserraikos
Sunday, March 9 at 5pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Aris 0-0 AEK Athens
Sunday, March 9 at 5pm in Greek Superleague

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 36.49%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 (11.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Asteras TripolisDrawAris Thessaloniki
36.49% (-0.159 -0.16)29.05% (0.030000000000001 0.03)34.46% (0.127 0.13)
Both teams to score 44.69% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.98% (-0.104 -0.1)62.03% (0.102 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.24% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)81.76% (0.078999999999994 0.08)
Asteras Tripolis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.53% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)32.47% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31% (-0.178 -0.18)69% (0.175 0.17)
Aris Thessaloniki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.19% (0.031999999999996 0.03)33.81% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.53% (0.033999999999999 0.03)70.48% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Asteras Tripolis 36.48%
    Aris Thessaloniki 34.46%
    Draw 29.04%
Asteras TripolisDrawAris Thessaloniki
1-0 @ 12.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.95% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.82% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.6% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.53% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 36.48%
1-1 @ 13.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.97% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 29.04%
0-1 @ 11.9% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.46% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.63% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.33% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 34.46%

Head to Head
Dec 23, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 16
Asteras
2-1
Aris
Yablonski (59'), Macheda (76')
Alho (90+1')
Zamora (30')
Leismann (10'), Monchu (18'), Montoya (52')
Aug 31, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 3
Aris
1-1
Asteras
Moron (63')
Frydek Jr (30'), Zamora (87'), Mantzis (87'), Montoya (90+1')
Regis (81')
Rastavac (31'), Kaltsas (66'), Brabec (87')
Mantzis (90'), (90+3')
Jan 3, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 16
Asteras
3-2
Aris
Miritello (45+2' pen., 50'), Munafo (61')
Miritello (55')
Moron (8' pen.), Suleymanov (14')
Odubajo (90+6'), Moron (90+7'), Brabec (90+9')
Sep 3, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 3
Aris
3-2
Asteras
Zamora (16'), Moron (61'), Leismann (82' pen.)
Cuesta (90+4')
Bartolo (28'), Mantzis (85')
Castano (45+6'), Papadopoulos (80'), Kaltsas (82')
Jan 8, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 17
Aris
3-0
Asteras
Garcia (19'), Leismann (32'), Camacho (89')