Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 63.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 14.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.47%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.