Europa League
Jan 30, 2025 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Georgios Karaiskaki
  • Ayoub El Kaabi 56' goal
  • Ayoub El Kaabi 60' goal
  • Giulian Biancone 89' goal
  • yellowcard Kevin Medina 16'
  • yellowcard Julio Romao 41'
  • yellowcard Abdellah Zoubir 61'
  • yellowcard Marko Vesovic 79'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Addai 83'
  • yellowcard Musa Gurbanli 90'+3'

Olympiacos vs Qarabag FK - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Olympiacos

All competitions
Last game
Jan 23, 2025 5.45pm
Porto 0 - 1 Olympiacos

Qarabag FK

All competitions
Last game
Jan 23, 2025 5.45pm
Qarabag 2 - 3 FCSB

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 52.51%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 24.48% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.

Result

Olympiacos 52.51% (-0.06)
Draw 23.01% (+0.02)
Qarabag FK 24.48% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.77% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.4% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 42.59% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 35% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 65% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 18.26% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 81.73% (+0.03)

Olympiacos Goals

Over 0.5 83.75% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 16.25% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 54.22% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 45.78% (+0.06)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5 68.98% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 31.02% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 32.67% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 67.33% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Olympiacos 52.51%
Draw 23.01%
Qarabag FK 24.48%
Olympiacos
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.16% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.32% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.9% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.04% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.45% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.68% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.29% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 52.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.72% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.7% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.04% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.01%
Qarabag FK
1-2 @ 6.28% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.9% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.45% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.45% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.23% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.35% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 24.48%

Head to Head

Europa League
Oct 13, 2022 5.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Europa League
Oct 6, 2022 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki
  • goal Owusu Kwabena 68'
  • goal Marko Vesovic 82'
  • goal Ramil Seydayev 86'