Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Olympiacos	Draw	Panathinaikos
46.21% ( -0.47)	26.29% ( 0.25)	27.5% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 50.02% (

-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.92% (

-0.84)

54.08% (

0.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.49% (

-0.71)

75.51% (

0.71)

Olympiacos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.63% (

-0.58)

23.37% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.66% (

-0.84)

57.34% (

0.85)

Panathinaikos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.27% (

-0.27)

34.72% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.55% (

-0.29)

71.45% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Olympiacos 46.21%

Panathinaikos 27.5%

Draw 26.28%

Olympiacos	Draw	Panathinaikos
1-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.79% Total : 46.21%	1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.28%	0-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.16% Total : 27.5%