Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.