AEK Athens
Greek Superleague | Gameweek 13
Nov 30, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
OPAP Arena
Aris

AEK Athens
4 - 0
Aris

Moukoudi (17'), Martial (45' pen.), Garcia (58'), Pierrot (89')
Garcia (19'), Koita (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Velez (15'), Frydek Jr (33'), Mallo (77')
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between AEK Athens and Aris Thessaloniki.

Form, Standings, Stats

AEK Athens

All competitions
Last Game: Olympiacos 4-1 AEK Athens
Sunday, November 24 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague

Aris Thessaloniki

All competitions
Last Game: Aris 0-1 Volos
Saturday, November 23 at 5.30pm in Greek Superleague

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 73.77%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 8.94%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.17%) and 3-0 (10.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.

Result
AEK AthensDrawAris Thessaloniki
73.77% (-0.547 -0.55)17.3% (0.355 0.36)8.94% (0.192 0.19)
Both teams to score 40.88% (-0.336 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.42% (-0.936 -0.94)46.58% (0.937 0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.15% (-0.885 -0.89)68.86% (0.88600000000001 0.89)
AEK Athens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.91% (-0.39700000000001 -0.4)11.09% (0.397 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.53% (-0.88200000000001 -0.88)35.47% (0.883 0.88)
Aris Thessaloniki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.98% (-0.171 -0.17)54.02% (0.173 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.71% (-0.106 -0.11)87.29% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    AEK Athens 73.76%
    Aris Thessaloniki 8.94%
    Draw 17.3%
AEK AthensDrawAris Thessaloniki
2-0 @ 14.48% (0.1 0.1)
1-0 @ 13.17% (0.3 0.3)
3-0 @ 10.62% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.54% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-0 @ 5.84% (-0.155 -0.16)
4-1 @ 3.6% (-0.115 -0.12)
5-0 @ 2.57% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.58% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.041 -0.04)
6-0 @ 0.94% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 73.76%
1-1 @ 8.11% (0.146 0.15)
0-0 @ 5.99% (0.233 0.23)
2-2 @ 2.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 17.3%
0-1 @ 3.69% (0.125 0.13)
1-2 @ 2.5% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.14% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 8.94%

Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Aris
1-2
AEK Athens
Moron (36')
Fattore (6'), Verstraete (25'), Montoya (40'), Rose (51'), Zamora (67'), Ansarifard (82')
Sidibe (49'), Amrabat (84')
Szymanski (35'), Amrabat (75')
Apr 14, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 5
AEK Athens
2-0
Aris
Ponce (9', 14')
Callens (34'), Gacinovic (60')

Verstraete (6'), Saverio (20'), Brabec (49'), Fattore (73'), Odubajo (86')
Mar 3, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 26
Aris
3-3
AEK Athens
Fetfatzidis (43'), Saverio (49'), Moron (90+7' pen.)
Montoya (13'), Jules (15'), Velez (70')
Amrabat (15' pen.), Vida (54'), Ponce (67')
Ljubicic (26'), Zuber (72'), Szymanski (90+1')
Dec 4, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 13
AEK Athens
1-0
Aris
Vida (59')
Vida (42')

Darida (24')
May 8, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 9
Aris
1-2
AEK Athens
Gray (17' pen.)
Van Weert (23'), Zuber (43')