Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 73.77%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 8.94%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.17%) and 3-0 (10.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.