Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 57.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Atromitos had a probability of 19.78%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for an Atromitos win it was 1-0 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for AEK Athens in this match.