Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 69.14%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 12.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for PAOK in this match.

Result
PAOK	Draw	Asteras Tripolis
69.14% ( -0)	18.37% ( 0.03)	12.48% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 50% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.63% (

-0.22)

41.37% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.23% (

-0.23)

63.76% (

0.23)

PAOK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.13% (

-0.06)

10.87% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.02% (

-0.14)

34.98% (

0.14)

Asteras Tripolis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.1% (

-0.19)

43.9% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.95% (

-0.16)

80.04% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

PAOK 69.13%

Asteras Tripolis 12.48%

Draw 18.37%

PAOK	Draw	Asteras Tripolis
2-0 @ 11.75% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.82% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) Other @ 4% Total : 69.13%	1-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.91% Total : 18.37%	0-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.62% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.28% Total : 12.48%