Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 69.14%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 12.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for PAOK in this match.