Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a OFI Crete win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a OFI Crete win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
OFI Crete	Draw	Aris Thessaloniki
37.48% ( 0.19)	26.43% ( -0.01)	36.09% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 52.79% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48% (

0.04)

52% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.27% (

0.03)

73.73% (

-0.03)

OFI Crete Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.07% (

0.13)

26.93% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.73% (

0.17)

62.26% (

-0.17)

Aris Thessaloniki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.25% (

-0.09)

27.74% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.68% (

-0.11)

63.32% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

OFI Crete 37.48%

Aris Thessaloniki 36.09%

Draw 26.42%

OFI Crete	Draw	Aris Thessaloniki
1-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 37.48%	1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.42%	0-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 36.09%