Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 5pm UK
Ratinan Stadion

Ilves
1 - 1
Djurgarden

Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Ilves and Djurgardens IF.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oulu 0-1 Ilves
Sunday, August 4 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.49%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Ilves win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
IlvesDrawDjurgardens IF
30.42% (-0.341 -0.34)23.16% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)46.41% (0.389 0.39)
Both teams to score 62.34% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.19% (0.032999999999994 0.03)38.81% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.88% (0.033999999999999 0.03)61.12% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Ilves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.18% (-0.193 -0.19)24.82% (0.196 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.59% (-0.272 -0.27)59.41% (0.275 0.27)
Djurgardens IF Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.92% (0.164 0.16)17.08% (-0.161 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.74% (0.287 0.29)47.25% (-0.284 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Ilves 30.42%
    Djurgardens IF 46.41%
    Draw 23.16%
IlvesDrawDjurgardens IF
2-1 @ 7.27% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-0 @ 5.91% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.12% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.38% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.91% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 30.42%
1-1 @ 10.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.43% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.24% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.76% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.16%
1-2 @ 9.23% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.49% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.62% (0.061000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 5.44% (0.048 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.9% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 3.79% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.4% (0.034 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.72% (0.034 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.67% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 46.41%

How you voted: Ilves vs Djurgarden

Ilves
54.5%
Draw
9.1%
Djurgardens IF
36.4%
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