Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 47.44%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Oulu win was 1-0 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ilves in this match.