UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Jul 31, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Austria-Akademie

Austria Vienna
4 - 3
Ilves

(5-5 on aggregate)

Malone (22'), Gruber (27'), Bari (68'), Prelec (97')
Ranftl (58'), Huskovic (93'), Fitz (100')

FT
(aet)

Ala-Myllymaki (30'), Maenpaa (90'), Soderback (112')
Pikkarainen (95'), Arifi (100'), Popovits (102'), Ulundu (107')

Ilves win 5-4 on penalties

Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Austria Vienna and Ilves.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austria Vienna

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Ilves 2-1 Austria Vienna
Thursday, July 25 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Ilves

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Ilves 2-1 Austria Vienna
Thursday, July 25 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria Vienna win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria Vienna win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Ilves win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%).

Result
Austria Vienna	Draw	Ilves
38.32% ( 0.83)	25.49% ( 0.14)	36.18% ( -0.97)

Both teams to score 55.96% (

-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.04% (

-0.69)

47.95% (

0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.87% (

-0.64)

70.13% (

0.64)

Austria Vienna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.4% (

0.13)

24.6% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.9% (

0.18)

59.1% (

-0.18)

Ilves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.22% (

-0.87)

25.78% (

0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.27% (

-1.19)

60.73% (

1.19)

Score Analysis

Austria Vienna 38.32%

Ilves 36.18%

Draw 25.49%

Austria Vienna	Draw	Ilves
1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 38.32%	1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.49%	0-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.42% Total : 36.18%