Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Ekenas IF had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Ekenas IF win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oulu would win this match.