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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 6pm UK
Tele2 Arena

Djurgarden
3 - 0
Niederkorn

Wikheim (21'), Hummet (27', 61')
Karamoko (42'), Tenho (54'), Danielsson (63'), Dahl (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Natami (32'), Wikheim (38'), Bah (42'), Lybohy (76'), Duarte (80'), Amofa (90+2')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Djurgardens IF and Progres Niederkorn.

Form, Standings, Stats

Djurgardens IF

All competitions
Last Game: Kalmar 2-1 Djurgarden
Saturday, July 20 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Progres Niederkorn

All competitions
Last Game: Niederkorn 2-1 Midtjylland
Thursday, August 3 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 72.43%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Progres Niederkorn had a probability of 10.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Progres Niederkorn win it was 0-1 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.

Result
Djurgardens IFDrawProgres Niederkorn
72.43% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)16.64% (0.014000000000003 0.01)10.93% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.03% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.64% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)37.36% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.42% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)59.57% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Djurgardens IF Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.99% (-0.012 -0.01)9% (0.013 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.32% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)30.68% (0.029 0.03)
Progres Niederkorn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.08% (0.024999999999999 0.02)43.92% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.94% (0.02 0.02)80.05% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Djurgardens IF 72.42%
    Progres Niederkorn 10.93%
    Draw 16.64%
Djurgardens IFDrawProgres Niederkorn
2-0 @ 11.45% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.52% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 9.2% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 5.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 2.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 2.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.87%
6-0 @ 1.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 72.42%
1-1 @ 7.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 3.88% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 16.64%
0-1 @ 3.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 3.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 1.34% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 10.93%

How you voted: Djurgarden vs Niederkorn

Djurgardens IF
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Progres Niederkorn
16.7%
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