UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 15, 2024 at 6pm UK

Tele2 Arena

Djurgarden
3 - 1
Ilves

(Djurgardens IF win 4-2 on aggregate)

Sabovic (14'), Hummet (43'), Stahl (52')
Fjeld Gulliksen (56'), Stahl (80'), Eriksson (85')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Riski (30')
Jorginho (85'), Akpudje (90+2')

Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Djurgardens IF and Ilves.

Form, Standings, Stats

Djurgardens IF

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Ilves 1-1 Djurgarden
Thursday, August 8 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Ilves

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Ilves 2-0 Mariehamn
Sunday, August 11 at 1pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 58.1%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Ilves had a probability of 19.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Ilves win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.

Result
Djurgardens IF	Draw	Ilves
58.1% ( -0.11)	21.96% ( 0.04)	19.94% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 54.99% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.67% (

-0.09)

43.33% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.27% (

-0.09)

65.72% (

0.09)

Djurgardens IF Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.37% (

-0.06)

14.63% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.25% (

-0.12)

42.75% (

0.12)

Ilves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.41% (

0.02)

35.59% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.64% (

0.02)

72.35% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Djurgardens IF 58.09%

Ilves 19.94%

Draw 21.96%

Djurgardens IF	Draw	Ilves
1-0 @ 10% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 58.09%	1-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.96%	0-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.87% Total : 19.94%