Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 19
Aug 11, 2024 at 1pm UK
Ratinan Stadion

Ilves
2 - 0
Mariehamn

Riski (25'), Haarala (49' pen.)
Kivikko (56'), Ala-Myllymaki (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dahlstrom (23'), Machado (48'), Fonsell (88')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Ilves and IFK Mariehamn.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ilves

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Ilves 1-1 Djurgarden
Thursday, August 8 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

IFK Mariehamn

All competitions
Last Game: Inter Turku 3-0 Mariehamn
Friday, August 2 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.

Result
IlvesDrawIFK Mariehamn
46.13% (-0.121 -0.12)23.81% (0.058 0.06)30.06% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
Both teams to score 59.78% (-0.165 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.92% (-0.23500000000001 -0.24)42.08% (0.237 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.52% (-0.236 -0.24)64.48% (0.23699999999999 0.24)
Ilves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.54% (-0.14200000000001 -0.14)18.46% (0.144 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.34% (-0.241 -0.24)49.65% (0.242 0.24)
IFK Mariehamn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.32% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)26.68% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.07% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)61.93% (0.101 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Ilves 46.13%
    IFK Mariehamn 30.06%
    Draw 23.81%
IlvesDrawIFK Mariehamn
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.32% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 46.13%
1-1 @ 10.99% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.14% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.93% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.81%
1-2 @ 7.26% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.51% (0.055 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.3% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 30.06%

Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 4
Mariehamn
0-1
Ilves

Tehe Olawale (11'), Dahlstrom (50'), Raitanen (81'), Patut (90+5')
Dahlstrom (62')
Jukkola (48')
Veteli (13'), Arifi (36')
Arifi (40')
Sep 27, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 3
Ilves
2-1
Mariehamn
Parfitt-Williams (18'), Haarala (85')
Sumusalo (26')
van der Heyden (14')
Jul 15, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 15
Ilves
0-0
Mariehamn
Miettunen (90+1')
Apr 5, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 1
Mariehamn
1-1
Ilves
Ngueukam (36')
Pennanen (54' pen.)
Oct 2, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 3
Ilves
2-3
Mariehamn
Ngueukam (12'), Ollila (52')
Owoeri (39' pen.), Baliso (54'), Cledson (86')