Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 53.89%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 23.15% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 2-1 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haka would win this match.