Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 17
Jul 28, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Kaarlen kentta

VPS
2 - 1
Mariehamn

Hytonen (44'), Machado (51' og.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Enqvist (79')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Vaasan Palloseura and IFK Mariehamn.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vaasan Palloseura

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Ilves 3-2 VPS
Sunday, July 21 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

IFK Mariehamn

All competitions
Last Game: Mariehamn 0-4 SJK
Sunday, July 21 at 1pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vaasan Palloseura would win this match.

Result
Vaasan PalloseuraDrawIFK Mariehamn
41.18% (0.00099999999999767 0)25.06% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)33.76% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.04% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.63% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)46.37% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.34% (-0.032 -0.03)68.66% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Vaasan Palloseura Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)22.44% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.03% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)55.98% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
IFK Mariehamn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.55% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)26.45% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.37% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)61.63% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Vaasan Palloseura 41.18%
    IFK Mariehamn 33.76%
    Draw 25.06%
Vaasan PalloseuraDrawIFK Mariehamn
1-0 @ 8.87% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.81%
2-0 @ 6.63% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.23%
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 41.18%
1-1 @ 11.79%
0-0 @ 5.94% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 7.9% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.84% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 33.76%

Head to Head
Jun 12, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 11
Mariehamn
0-0
VPS
Tehe Olawale (67')
Engstrom (45'), Alanko (78')
Sep 3, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 22
Mariehamn
1-2
VPS
Sid (14')
Cledson (45+1')
Godly Michael (7'), Bashkirov (30')
Godly Michael (27'), Raisanen (53')
May 5, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 6
VPS
2-1
Mariehamn
Hudd (1'), Roberto (53')
Hopcutt (71' pen.)
Oct 16, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 5
Mariehamn
2-2
VPS
Lahti (69'), Sjoroos (74')
Multanen (38'), Reid (83')
Jul 9, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 13
VPS
1-3
Mariehamn
Pahkasalo (51')
Nuorela (82'), Yengi (87')
Cledson (26'), Hambo (75'), Latonen (88')
Mensah (63'), Raitanen (65')