Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 60.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 17.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.73%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 1-0 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SJK would win this match.