Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Turku win with a probability of 51.15%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 25.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Turku win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Turku would win this match.