Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 28, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Universitario

River Plate
1 - 1
Universitario

Colidio (36', 36')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Concha (45+2', 45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between River Plate and Universitario, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: River Plate 1-1 Platense (2-4 pen.)
Wednesday, May 21 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Universitario

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Universitario 1-0 Barcelona
Thursday, May 15 at 3am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 64.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Universitario had a probability of 14.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Universitario win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
River PlateDrawUniversitario
64.01% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)21.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)14.86% (0.042 0.04)
Both teams to score 47.47% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.82% (0.052999999999997 0.05)48.18% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.67% (0.049000000000003 0.05)70.33% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.64% (0.0010000000000048 0)14.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.77% (0.0039999999999978 0)42.23% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Universitario Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.42% (0.088999999999999 0.09)44.58% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.41% (0.071999999999999 0.07)80.59% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 64%
    Universitario 14.86%
    Draw 21.12%
River PlateDrawUniversitario
1-0 @ 12.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 12.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.8% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.3% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 3.78% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.06% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.47% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 64%
1-1 @ 10.03%
0-0 @ 6.4% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.94% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 21.12%
0-1 @ 5.17% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 4.06% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.09% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.09% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.06% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 14.86%

How you voted: River Plate vs Universitario

River Plate
70.6%
Draw
23.5%
Universitario
5.9%
17
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2025 1.30am
Group Stage
Universitario
0-1
River Plate

Concha (36'), Corzo (49'), Valera (55'), Murrugarra (62'), Velez (72'), Flores (83')
Diaz (17')
Perez (23'), Castano (63'), Bustos (74'), Armani (90+5')