Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 79.06%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 6.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.43%) and 3-0 (12.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.77%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (2.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.