Copa Libertadores
May 9, 2025 1.30am
2
3
HT : 2 4
FT Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha
  • Octavio Rivero 15' goal
  • Octavio Rivero 15' goal
  • Anibal Chala 28' yellowcard
  • Anibal Chala 28' yellowcard
  • Lucas Martinez 49' goal
  • Lucas Martinez 49' goal
  • Jesus Trindade 73' yellowcard
  • Jesus Trindade 73' yellowcard
  • goal Sebastian Driussi 7'
  • goal Sebastian Driussi 7'
  • goal Facundo Colidio 26'
  • goal Facundo Colidio 26'
  • goal Franco Mastantuono 48'
  • goal Franco Mastantuono 48'
  • yellowcard Giuliano Galoppo 82'
  • yellowcard Giuliano Galoppo 82'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Montiel 85'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Montiel 85'

Barcelona SC vs River Plate - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona SC

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 23, 2025 3.00am
Barcelona 0 - 1 Universitario

River Plate

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 24, 2025 1.30am
Independiente 2 - 2 River Plate

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 49.89%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 24.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.68%) and 1-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Barcelona SC win it was 1-0 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result

Barcelona SC 24.02% (-0.34)
Draw 26.09% (-0.12)
River Plate 49.89% (+0.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.69% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.34% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 55.66% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 23.19% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 76.81% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 10.23% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 89.77% (-0.09)

Barcelona SC Goals

Over 0.5 61.43% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 38.57% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 24.68% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 75.32% (+0.20)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5 77.64% (+0.27)
Under 0.5 22.36% (-0.28)
Over 1.5 44.14% (+0.41)
Under 1.5 55.86% (-0.42)

Score analysis

Barcelona SC 24.02%
Draw 26.08%
River Plate 49.89%
Barcelona SC
1-0 @ 8.22% (-0.11)
2-1 @ 5.86% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 3.91% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 1.86% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.39% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.24% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 24.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.3% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 8.63% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.08%
River Plate
0-1 @ 12.92% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 9.68% (+0.10)
1-2 @ 9.22% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 4.83% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 4.6% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.19% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.81% (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.72% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 49.89%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Apr 9, 2025 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
  • Kevin Castano 76' yellowcard
  • Kevin Castano 76' yellowcard
  • Lucas Martinez 82' yellowcard
  • Lucas Martinez 82' yellowcard
  • Miguel Borja 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Miguel Borja 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gustavo Vallecilla 47'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Vallecilla 47'