Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 49.89%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 24.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.68%) and 1-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Barcelona SC win it was 1-0 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.