Copa Libertadores
May 9, 2025 3.00am
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Monumental
  • Jose Carabali 34' goal
  • Jose Carabali 34' goal
  • Gabriel Costa 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Costa 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Jairo Concha 49' yellowcard
  • Jairo Concha 49' yellowcard
  • Jose Carabali 71' yellowcard
  • Jose Carabali 71' yellowcard
  • goal Claudio Spinelli 28'
  • goal Claudio Spinelli 28'
  • yellowcard Patrik Mercado 43'
  • yellowcard Patrik Mercado 43'

Universitario vs Independiente del Valle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Universitario

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 23, 2025 3.00am
Barcelona 0 - 1 Universitario

Independiente del Valle

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 24, 2025 1.30am
Independiente 2 - 2 River Plate

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario win with a probability of 53.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universitario win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result

Universitario 53.03% (-0.03)
Draw 24.78% (-0.01)
Independiente del Valle 22.2% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.41% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.64% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 52.36% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 25.95% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 74.05% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 11.97% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 88.03% (-0.03)

Universitario Goals

Over 0.5 80.29% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 19.71% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 48.27% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 51.73% (-0.02)

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5 61.54% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 38.46% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 24.79% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 75.21% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Universitario 53.02%
Draw 24.77%
Independiente del Valle 22.2%
Universitario
1-0 @ 12.31% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 10% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.55% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.41% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.17% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.47% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.2% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.1% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1% (-99.00)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 53.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.76%
0-0 @ 7.58% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.56% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 24.77%
Independiente del Valle
0-1 @ 7.25% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.62% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.46% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.79% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.45% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.1% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 22.2%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Apr 9, 2025 3.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Banco Guayaquil
  • Claudio Spinelli 69' yellowcard
  • Claudio Spinelli 69' yellowcard
  • Jordy Alcivar 82' goal
  • Jordy Alcivar 82' goal
  • Renato Ibarra 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Renato Ibarra 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aldo Corzo 75'
  • yellowcard Aldo Corzo 75'
  • yellowcard Aldo Corzo 75'
Copa Libertadores
May 19, 2021 1.30am
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Monumental
  • Alex Eduardo Valera Sandoval 20' goal
  • Alex Eduardo Valera Sandoval 49' goal
  • Jose Leonardo Rugel Moran 67' yellowcard
  • Nelinho Minzum Quina Asin 72' goal
  • Aldo Corzo 78' yellowcard
  • goal Jhon Sanchez 8'
  • goal Christian Ortiz 59'
  • yellowcard Luis Segovia 70'
  • yellowcard Christian Ortiz 72'
  • yellowcard Cristian Pellerano 75'
Copa Libertadores
May 5, 2021 11.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio General Rumiñahui del Valle de Los Chillos
  • Beder Caicedo 33' yellowcard
  • Anthony Landazuri 38' yellowcard
  • Jhon Sanchez 45'+3' goal
  • Jacob Murillo 61' goal
  • Jhon Sanchez 73' goal
  • Christian Ortiz 85' goal
  • yellowcard Jorge Murrugarra 10'
  • yellowcard Gerson Barreto 23'