Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 19, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stade Alphonse Massamba-Debat

Congo
0 - 1
Uganda

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mutyaba (55')
Ssekiganda (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Congo and Uganda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Congo

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: South Sudan 3-2 Congo
Thursday, November 14 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Congo	3	3	7
2	Angola	3	1	5
3	Burkina Faso	3	-2	2
4	Cameroon	3	-2	1

Uganda

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Uganda 0-2 South Africa
Friday, November 15 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Egypt	3	5	9
2	Uganda	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Zimbabwe	3	-5	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 54.23%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Congo had a probability of 19.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.22%) and 1-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Congo win it was 1-0 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Uganda in this match.

Result
Congo	Draw	Uganda
19.96% ( 0.24)	25.81% ( 0.12)	54.23% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 43.67% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.59% (

-0.15)

58.4% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.99% (

-0.12)

79% (

0.12)

Congo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.72% (

0.17)

44.27% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.65% (

0.14)

80.34% (

-0.15)

Uganda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.36% (

-0.21)

21.64% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.23% (

-0.33)

54.76% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Congo 19.96%

Uganda 54.22%

Draw 25.8%

Congo	Draw	Uganda
1-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.77% Total : 19.96%	1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.56% Total : 25.8%	0-1 @ 14.66% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 11.22% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.14% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.73% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.67% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 2.19% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.93% Total : 54.22%