Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 7

May 4, 2025 at 1.30pm UK

Linzer Stadion

BW Linz
0 - 1
Sturm Graz

Vitek (44'), Diabate (55'), Moormann (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kiteishvili (48')
Wuthrich (51'), Beganovic (72'), Beganovic (72')
Beganovic (79'), Beganovic (79')

Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between BW Linz and Sturm Graz.

Form, Standings, Stats

BW Linz

All competitions

Last Game: Rapid Vienna 0-0 BW Linz
Sunday, April 27 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Goals
for

Sturm Graz

All competitions

Last Game: Sturm Graz 0-1 Austria Vienna
Sunday, April 27 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for BW Linz had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest BW Linz win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sturm Graz in this match.

Result
BW Linz	Draw	Sturm Graz
34.69% ( 0.09)	25.96% ( -0.11)	39.35% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 54.18% (

0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.83% (

0.46)

50.16% (

-0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.87% (

0.41)

72.13% (

-0.41)

BW Linz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.29% (

0.28)

27.71% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.73% (

0.35)

63.27% (

-0.35)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.94% (

0.22)

25.06% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.26% (

0.3)

59.74% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

BW Linz 34.69%

Sturm Graz 39.35%

Draw 25.96%

BW Linz	Draw	Sturm Graz
1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.89% Total : 34.69%	1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.96%	0-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 39.35%