Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 24
Feb 16, 2025 at 10.30am UK
Mersin Stadyumu
Alanyaspor

Hatayspor
1 - 0
Alanyaspor

Bamgboye (56')
Kilama (2'), Massanga (31'), Calvo (33'), Fernandes (72'), Bekaj (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Augusto (38'), Lima (65')
Augusto (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Hatayspor and Alanyaspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hatayspor

All competitions
Last Game: Samsunspor 2-0 Hatayspor
Friday, February 7 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Alanyaspor

All competitions
Last Game: Alanyaspor 0-2 Fenerbahce
Sunday, February 9 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alanyaspor win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
HataysporDrawAlanyaspor
33.52% (-0.294 -0.29)26.11% (0.068000000000001 0.07)40.37% (0.229 0.23)
Both teams to score 53.45% (-0.296 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.01% (-0.351 -0.35)50.99% (0.353 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.15% (-0.308 -0.31)72.85% (0.31100000000001 0.31)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.16% (-0.357 -0.36)28.83% (0.36 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.31% (-0.445 -0.45)64.69% (0.449 0.45)
Alanyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.11% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)24.89% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.5% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)59.5% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Hatayspor 33.52%
    Alanyaspor 40.37%
    Draw 26.1%
HataysporDrawAlanyaspor
1-0 @ 8.93% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.55% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.2% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.3% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 33.52%
1-1 @ 12.41% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.18% (0.101 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 9.98% (0.129 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.63% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.94% (0.082 0.08)
1-3 @ 4% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 3.22% (0.035 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.12% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 40.37%

How you voted: Hatayspor vs Alanyaspor

Hatayspor
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Alanyaspor
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 5
Alanyaspor
0-0
Hatayspor
Balkovec (20'), Makouta (28'), Lima (38')
Massanga (75')
> Preview
Jan 23, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 22
Hatayspor
1-1
Alanyaspor
Rivas (5')
Fernandes (68'), Dadasov (69'), Yilmaz (87'), Boudjemaa (88')
Aydin (89' pen.)
Aydin (66'), Fer (88')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Alanyaspor
0-0
Hatayspor
Erdogan (38'), Ozdemir (74'), Bayir (90+8'), Karaca (90+6'), Balkovec (90+6')
Yildirim (37'), Aburjania (76'), Fernandes (90+8')
> Preview
Apr 9, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 28
Alanyaspor
3-0
Hatayspor
Oct 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 9
Hatayspor
1-0
Alanyaspor
Oksuz (72')
> Preview