Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 21
Jan 27, 2025 5.00pm
5
4
HT : 2 3
FT Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu
  • Haris Hajradinovic 30' goal
  • Guy Kilama 39' goal
  • Nicholas Opoku 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Aytac Kara 53' goal
  • Mamadou Fall 69' goal
  • Mortadha Ben Ouannes 70' yellowcard
  • Claudio Winck 78' goal
  • Aytac Kara 88' yellowcard
  • redcard Francisco Calvo 8'
  • goal Bilal Boutobba 15'
  • goal Cemali Sertel 20'
  • yellowcard Gorkem Saglam 32'
  • yellowcard Erce Kardesler 36'
  • yellowcard Rigoberto Rivas 55'
  • goal Vincent Aboubakar 45'+11'
  • goal Vincent Aboubakar 58'

Kasimpasa vs Hatayspor - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kasimpasa

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Jan 19, 2025 1.00pm
Konyaspor 3 - 3 Kasimpasa
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Nuno da Costa

Hatayspor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Jan 17, 2025 5.00pm
Hatayspor 1 - 1 Galatasaray
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Bilal Boutobba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.

Result

Kasimpasa 48.94% (+0.13)
Draw 24.58% (+0.07)
Hatayspor 26.47% (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.49% (-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.15% (-0.43)
Under 2.5 47.85% (+0.42)
Over 3.5 29.97% (-0.40)
Under 3.5 70.03% (+0.39)
Over 4.5 14.65% (-0.28)
Under 4.5 85.35% (+0.27)

Kasimpasa Goals

Over 0.5 80.41% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 19.59% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 48.47% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 51.53% (+0.19)

Hatayspor Goals

Over 0.5 67.77% (-0.38)
Under 0.5 32.23% (+0.38)
Over 1.5 31.28% (-0.43)
Under 1.5 68.72% (+0.43)

Score analysis

Kasimpasa 48.94%
Draw 24.58%
Hatayspor 26.47%
Kasimpasa
1-0 @ 10.29% (+0.14)
2-1 @ 9.5% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.39% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.16% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.56% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.86% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 48.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.65% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 6.31% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.58%
Hatayspor
0-1 @ 7.15% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 6.6% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.05% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 26.47%

Head to Head

Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 2
Aug 19, 2024 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Mersin Stadyumu
  • Joelson Fernandes 21' goal
  • Armin Hodzic 74' yellowcard
  • Funsho Bamgboye 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aytac Kara 64'
  • goal Nuno da Costa 90'+1'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2024 10.30am
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu
  • Claudio Winck 74' goal
  • Nuno da Costa 79' goal
  • Claudio Winck 82' yellowcard
  • Mamadou Fall 89' goal
  • yellowcard Giorgi Aburjania 18'
  • yellowcard Kamil Corekci 74'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 2
Aug 19, 2023 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Gaziantep Stadyumu
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 23
Feb 5, 2023 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Antakya Atatürk Stadı
  • Christian Atsu 90'+7' goal
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2022 5.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Recep Tayyip ErdoÄŸan Stadyumu
  • Haris Hajradinovic 36' goal
  • Valentin Eysseric 59' yellowcard
  • Ahmet Engin 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Mamadou Fall 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Burak Yilmaz 81'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 20
Jan 8, 2022 1.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Valentin Eysseric 1' goal
  • Umut Bozok 6' goal
  • Michal Travnik 50' goal
  • Michal Travnik 78' yellowcard
  • Florent Hadergjonaj 90'+9' yellowcard
  • goal Onur Ergun 75'