Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.