Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 21

Jan 27, 2025 at 5pm UK

Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu

Kasimpasa
5 - 4
Hatayspor

Hajradinovic (30'), Kilama (39' og.), Kara (53'), Fall (69'), Winck (78')
Opoku (45+6'), Ben Ouannes (70'), Kara (88')

FT(HT: 2-3)

Boutobba (15'), Sertel (20'), Aboubakar (45+11' pen., 58')
Saglam (32'), Kardesler (36'), Rivas (55')
Calvo (8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Hatayspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kasimpasa

All competitions

Last Game: Konyaspor 3-3 Kasimpasa
Sunday, January 19 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Hatayspor

All competitions

Last Game: Hatayspor 1-1 Galatasaray
Friday, January 17 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.

Result
Kasimpasa	Draw	Hatayspor
48.94% ( 0.13)	24.58% ( 0.06)	26.47% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 54.49% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.15% (

-0.42)

47.85% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.97% (

-0.39)

70.03% (

0.39)

Kasimpasa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.41% (

-0.12)

19.59% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.47% (

-0.19)

51.53% (

0.18)

Hatayspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.77% (

-0.38)

32.23% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.28% (

-0.42)

68.72% (

0.42)

Score Analysis

Kasimpasa 48.94%

Hatayspor 26.47%

Draw 24.58%

Kasimpasa	Draw	Hatayspor
1-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.97% Total : 48.94%	1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.58%	0-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.62% Total : 26.47%