Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 22
Feb 1, 2025 at 10.30am UK
Mersin Stadyumu
Antalyaspor logo (not for use in articles)

Hatayspor
2 - 3
Antalyaspor

Boutobba (30'), Aboubakar (64' pen.)
Yilmaz (21')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Samudio (22' pen.), van de Streek (39'), Safouri (86')
Ozturk (45+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Hatayspor and Antalyaspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kasimpasa 5-4 Hatayspor
Monday, January 27 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Antalyaspor 1-1 Besiktas
Sunday, January 26 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for Antalyaspor had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Antalyaspor win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
HataysporDrawAntalyaspor
45.1% (-0.338 -0.34)25.68% (0.097000000000001 0.1)29.22% (0.239 0.24)
Both teams to score 53% (-0.165 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.26% (-0.283 -0.28)50.75% (0.27999999999999 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.36% (-0.25 -0.25)72.64% (0.248 0.25)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.54% (-0.27499999999999 -0.27)22.46% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44% (-0.412 -0.41)56% (0.409 0.41)
Antalyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.35% (0.027999999999992 0.03)31.65% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.94% (0.033000000000001 0.03)68.06% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Hatayspor 45.09%
    Antalyaspor 29.22%
    Draw 25.68%
HataysporDrawAntalyaspor
1-0 @ 10.61% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.93% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.54% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 45.09%
1-1 @ 12.21% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.11% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 8.18% (0.099 0.1)
1-2 @ 7.03% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.7% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.69% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 29.22%

How you voted: Hatayspor vs Antalyaspor

Hatayspor
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Antalyaspor
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Antalyaspor
3-2
Hatayspor
Kelven (60'), Djenepo (66'), Samudio (90+4' pen.)
van de Streek (56'), Kelven (64'), Gerxhaliu (66'), Kaluzinski (74')
Strandberg (26' pen., 32')
Parmak (35'), Sertel (47'), Corekci (76'), Yilmaz (90+2'), Hodzic (90+2'), Theophilus Okoronkwo (90+11')
Kilama (51')
Apr 21, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 33
Antalyaspor
2-1
Hatayspor
Buksa (67'), Bytyqi (90+2')
van de Streek (59'), Yesilyurt (60'), Sari (87'), Uzun (90+4')
Dele-Bashiru (26')
Ghoulam (8'), Faruk Beyaz (15'), Kardesler (65')
Dec 1, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 14
Hatayspor
3-3
Antalyaspor
Strandberg (19'), Alici (62'), Kilama (71')
Massanga (39'), Demirel (40'), Demir (67')
Demirel (0'), (90+14')
Yesilyurt (35'), Buksa (57', 88')
Sari (69'), Safouri (90+13')
Jun 3, 2023 5pm
Jan 7, 2023 1pm