Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 61.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 17.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Samsunspor would win this match.