Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 23
Feb 7, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadyum Samsun

Samsunspor
2 - 0
Hatayspor

Mouandilmadji (3'), Yavru (7')
Dimata (70')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Fernandes (27'), Kilama (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Samsunspor and Hatayspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Samsunspor

All competitions
Last Game: Istanbul 4-0 Samsunspor
Saturday, February 1 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

Hatayspor

All competitions
Last Game: Hatayspor 2-3 Antalyaspor
Saturday, February 1 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 61.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 17.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Samsunspor would win this match.

Result
SamsunsporDrawHatayspor
61.24% (-0.158 -0.16)21.53% (0.085000000000001 0.09)17.23% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Both teams to score 51.43% (-0.13 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.4% (-0.249 -0.25)45.6% (0.25 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.08% (-0.236 -0.24)67.92% (0.238 0.24)
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.61% (-0.13 -0.13)14.39% (0.131 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.72% (-0.254 -0.25)42.28% (0.256 0.26)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.07% (-0.061 -0.06)39.93% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.42% (-0.055 -0.05)76.58% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Samsunspor 61.23%
    Hatayspor 17.23%
    Draw 21.52%
SamsunsporDrawHatayspor
1-0 @ 11.13% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 10.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 6.98% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.41% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.38% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.11% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.43% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 61.23%
1-1 @ 10.22% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.74% (0.061 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 21.52%
0-1 @ 5.27% (0.047 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.69% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.42% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.44% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 17.23%

How you voted: Samsunspor vs Hatayspor

Samsunspor
92.3%
Draw
7.7%
Hatayspor
0.0%
26
Head to Head
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Samsunspor
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Ait Bennasser (17'), Bola (59')
> Preview
Mar 17, 2024 1pm
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Samsunspor
Strandberg (3'), Dele-Bashiru (89'), Rivas (90+2')
Alici (34'), Demirel (35'), Ghoulam (60'), Kardesler (69'), Maksimovic (80')

Kilinc (41')
> Preview
Nov 4, 2023 1pm
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Samsunspor
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Hatayspor
Kara (77' pen.), Schindler (90+9')
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Lamkel Ze (36')
Massanga (45+1'), Saglam (45+3'), Alici (62'), Ghoulam (71'), Fernandes (76'), Kardesler (78')
Fernandes (90+11')
> Preview