Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 23
Feb 7, 2025 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadyum Samsun
  • Marius Mouandilmadji 3' goal
  • Zeki Yavru 7' goal
  • Landry Dimata 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joelson Fernandes 27'
  • yellowcard Guy Kilama 64'

Samsunspor vs Hatayspor - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Samsunspor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Feb 1, 2025 4.00pm
Istanbul 4 - 0 Samsunspor
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Marius Mouandilmadji

Hatayspor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Feb 1, 2025 10.30am
Hatayspor 2 - 3 Antalyaspor
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Bilal Boutobba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 61.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 17.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Samsunspor would win this match.

Result

Samsunspor 61.24% (-0.16)
Draw 21.53% (+0.09)
Hatayspor 17.23% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.43% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.4% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 45.6% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 32.08% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 67.92% (+0.24)
Over 4.5 16.13% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 83.87% (+0.18)

Samsunspor Goals

Over 0.5 85.61% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 14.39% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 57.72% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 42.28% (+0.26)

Hatayspor Goals

Over 0.5 60.07% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 39.93% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 23.42% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 76.58% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Samsunspor 61.23%
Draw 21.52%
Hatayspor 17.23%
Samsunspor
1-0 @ 11.13% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 10.79% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.98% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.41% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 3.38% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.11% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.43% (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.31% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 61.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.22% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.74% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 21.52%
Hatayspor
0-1 @ 5.27% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 4.69% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.42% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.44% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 17.23%

Head to Head

Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2024 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Mersin Stadyumu
  • goal 9'
  • yellowcard Youssef Ait Bennasser 17'
  • goal Arbnor Muja 37'
  • goal Marius Mouandilmadji 51'
  • yellowcard Marc Bola 59'
  • goal Olivier Ntcham 75'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 30
Mar 17, 2024 1.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mersin Stadyumu
  • Carlos Strandberg 3' goal
  • Kerim Alici 34' yellowcard
  • Volkan Demirel 35' yellowcard
  • Faouzi Ghoulam 60' yellowcard
  • Erce Kardesler 69' yellowcard
  • Nikola Maksimovic 80' yellowcard
  • Fisayo Dele-Bashiru 89' goal
  • Rigoberto Rivas 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Emre Kilinc 41'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2023 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu
  • Markus Gisdol 0' yellowcard
  • Mickael Tirpan 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Ercan Kara 77' goal
  • Youssef Ait Bennasser 77' yellowcard
  • Kingsley Schindler 90'+9' goal
  • Kingsley Schindler 90'+10' yellowcard
  • goal Didier Lamkel Ze 36'
  • yellowcard Chandrel Massanga 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Gorkem Saglam 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Kerim Alici 62'
  • yellowcard Faouzi Ghoulam 71'
  • yellowcard Joelson Fernandes 76'
  • yellowcard Erce Kardesler 78'
  • redcard Joelson Fernandes 90'+11'