Istanbul Basaksehir
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 22
Feb 1, 2025 at 4pm UK
Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu

Istanbul
4 - 0
Samsunspor

Piatek (19', 58', 69'), Davidson (86')
Turuc (21'), Crespo (31')
FT(HT: 1-0)

van Drongelen (25'), Cift (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Istanbul Basaksehir and Samsunspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Istanbul Basaksehir

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Alanyaspor 5-4 Istanbul
Saturday, January 25 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

Samsunspor

All competitions
Last Game: Samsunspor 2-1 Gaziantep
Friday, January 24 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 48.72%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawSamsunspor
48.72% (-0.167 -0.17)25% (-0.012 -0.01)26.28% (0.18 0.18)
Both teams to score 53.01% (0.195 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.28% (0.181 0.18)49.72% (-0.18 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.27% (0.162 0.16)71.73% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.56% (0.0019999999999953 0)20.43% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.12% (0.00099999999999767 0)52.88% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.62% (0.245 0.25)33.37% (-0.246 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30% (0.267 0.27)70% (-0.267 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Istanbul Basaksehir 48.72%
    Samsunspor 26.28%
    Draw 25%
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawSamsunspor
1-0 @ 10.83% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.6% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.55% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 48.72%
1-1 @ 11.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.82% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 1% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 7.48% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.52% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.11% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.39% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.5% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 26.28%

How you voted: Istanbul vs Samsunspor

Istanbul Basaksehir
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
Samsunspor
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 3
Samsunspor
2-0
Istanbul
Mouandilmadji (65'), Van Drongelen (72')
Yavru (34'), Kilinc (68'), Mouandilmadji (76'), Bola (90+6'), Yuksel (90+3')

Duarte (49'), Ozdemir (90+6')
> Preview
Mar 3, 2024 10.30am
Gameweek 28
Istanbul
1-0
Samsunspor
Aleksic (47')

Antalyali (69'), Celik (76'), van Drongelen (83')
Mouandilmadji (34')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 9
Samsunspor
0-0
Istanbul
Kilinc (41'), Mouandilmadji (82')
Dubois (51'), Ba (82')
> Preview