Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 51.16%. A win for Caykur Rizespor had a probability of 25.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Caykur Rizespor win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.