Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 52.45%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 23.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alanyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Alanyaspor would win this match.